Последние три сессии луни консолидируется, прежде обвалившись в район 1.32032 (минимум 28 января 2019). Чтобы определиться с направлением, рынки ждут результатов переговоров по вопросам торговли между Китаем и США, а также заседания Федрезерва. Как ожидается, регулятор не будет повышать ставку в этом году. Инструмент CME Group FedWatch показывает 99.5%-ю вероятность того, что она останется без изменений в январе; на 20 марта 2019 г. она составит 94.3% и 88.7% – на 1 мая 2019. Пара пробила максимум 1.32860 и сейчас заигрывает с отметкой 1.32569.

Краткосрочное сопротивление обосновалось у 1.3287 (10- дневной MA) и пробой выше нацелит на 1.3304 (55- дневную EMA)/1.3380/1.3400.

Ближайшая поддержка была замечена вблизи 1.3195 и пробой ниже утянет к 1.3114 (200- дневной MA)/1.3070 (300-дневной EMA).

Лучше продавать на ралли в районе 1.3300 , с уровнем стоп-лосса 1.3380 и тейк-профита 1.3070.

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